AC Oulu 3-4 HJK: prediction, tips and result

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3-4Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Raatti Stadion, Oulu
Referee:
Antti Munukka

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloAC Oulu130219%23%Draw24%25%HJK150057%52%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.554%50%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AC Oulu0:1HJKL
  2. HJK0:1AC OuluW
  3. HJK3:1AC OuluL
  4. AC Oulu0:4HJKL
  5. HJK3:0AC OuluL
AC Oulu's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Munukka0.0 yellow cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.9total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.6total 2.7
AC Oulu : HJK
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-110%0-210%1-210%0-07%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-111%0-29%1-29%0-07%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%0-10-110%0-111%0-20-210%0-29%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-07%0-07%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals79%75%75%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals68%72%72%
2 – HJK win57%48% · Elo 52%48%· Elo 52%
Over 2.5 goals54%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes54%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals46%50%50%
Both teams to score: no46%47%47%
1X – home team avoid defeat43%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals32%28%28%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals21%25%25%
1 – AC Oulu win19%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
Attack vs defence
AC Oulu attack vs HJK defenceattack1421defence1540−119 pts to the attack
HJK attack vs AC Oulu defenceattack1639defence1471+168 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.561%61%
8.548%48%
9.535%38%
10.525%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AC Ouluwe expect 3.7, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
HJKwe expect 4.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 21.0 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.566%60%
19.559%52%
20.551%44%
21.544%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AC Ouluwe expect 10.6, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
HJKwe expect 9.6, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 48%
Referee: 18.5 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)+1.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%59%
3.540%36%
4.523%22%
5.511%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AC Ouluwe expect 2.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
HJKwe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 32%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AC Oulu: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • AC Oulu score only 0.7 goals per game
  • AC Oulu: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • HJK: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJK27146749:3248
6AC Oulu271141230:3337
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AC Oulu vs HJK?

AC Oulu 3-4 HJK (half time 0-2).