Veikkausliiga

Gnistan vs AC Oulu: prediction, tips and stats

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Gnistan
1-12-11-10-00-1
1.5:1.1Pre-match
AC Oulu
3-41-00-11-20-1

Our tips

Tip in 10d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloGnistan140050%52%Draw24%25%AC Oulu130226%23%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.549%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AC Oulu1:2GnistanW
  2. AC Oulu0:2GnistanW
  3. Gnistan1:5AC OuluL
  4. Gnistan3:2AC OuluW
  5. AC Oulu2:3GnistanW
Gnistan's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Gnistan : AC Oulu
Most likely scores
Model1-111%1-010%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%1-2—
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
12 – no draw76%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%74%74%
1 – Gnistan win50%48% · Elo 52%48%· Elo 52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%52%52%
2 – AC Oulu win26%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
Attack vs defence
Gnistan attack vs AC Oulu defenceattack1525defence1459+66 pts to the attack
AC Oulu attack vs Gnistan defenceattack1430defence1475−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.560%61%
8.547%48%
9.534%38%
10.524%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gnistanwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
AC Ouluwe expect 3.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 21.5 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.562%52%
20.555%44%
21.548%39%
22.541%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gnistanwe expect 10.5, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
AC Ouluwe expect 11.2, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 66%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.571%59%
3.550%37%
4.531%23%
5.517%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gnistanwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
AC Ouluwe expect 2.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 67%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Gnistan

AC Oulu

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Gnistan27119740:3342
6AC Oulu271141230:3337
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

Gnistan are the favourites. Chances: Gnistan win 50%, draw 24%, AC Oulu win 26%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Gnistan 1.7, AC Oulu 1.2). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

The Veikkausliiga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).

See also