Lahti vs TPS: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%46%O2.557%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lahti0:0TPSD
- TPS2:1LahtiL
- Lahti2:1TPSW
- TPS1:1LahtiD
- Lahti1:1TPSD
Lahti's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Lahti : TPSMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%0-0—2-110%0-1—2-09%3-16%Attack/defence1-114%1-013%0-011%2-18%0-110%2-08%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-114%1-01-09%1-013%0-00-0—0-011%2-12-110%2-18%0-10-1—0-110%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Lahti win | 56%42% · Elo 42% | 42%· Elo 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%20% | 20% |
| X – draw | 23%29% · Elo 27% | 29%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – TPS win | 20%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%34% | 34% |
Attack vs defence
Lahti attack vs TPS defenceattack1445defence1482−37 pts to the attack
TPS attack vs Lahti defenceattack1410defence1491−81 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%61%
8.542%48%
9.530%38%
10.521%27%
Each team on its own
Lahtiwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
TPSwe expect 3.9, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 22.6 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.569%52%
20.563%44%
21.556%39%
22.548%32%
Each team on its own
Lahtiwe expect 11.0, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
TPSwe expect 11.9, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 72%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 73%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 27%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.549%59%
3.527%37%
4.513%23%
5.55%10%
Each team on its own
Lahtiwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
TPSwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- TPS4 matches in a row without scoringaway: 1Went on 33%League 37%Model 34%Record 9
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lahti: newly promoted
- Lahti: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- TPS: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Relegation Round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30:25 | 36 |
| 3 | TPS | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:28 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lahti vs TPS?
Lahti are the favourites. Chances: Lahti win 56%, draw 23%, TPS win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs TPS?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Lahti 1.9, TPS 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Lahti vs TPS?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Lahti vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).