Veikkausliiga

VPS vs Inter Turku: prediction, tips and stats

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VPS
1-00-10-20-61-0
1.0:1.3Pre-match
Inter Turku
1-00-01-01-01-2

Our tips

Tip in 10d 7h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloVPS136027%22%Draw29%25%Inter Turku155344%53%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%O2.538%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Inter Turku1:0VPSL
  2. VPS0:1Inter TurkuL
  3. Inter Turku0:0VPSD
  4. Inter Turku2:1VPSL
  5. VPS0:2Inter TurkuL
VPS's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model0.9 : 1.3total 2.2Attack/defence1.0 : 1.3total 2.2
VPS : Inter Turku
Most likely scores
Model0-114%1-113%0-012%1-011%0-29%1-2—Attack/defence0-114%1-114%0-012%1-010%0-29%1-28%
ModelAttack/defence0-10-114%0-114%1-11-113%1-114%0-00-012%0-012%1-01-011%1-010%0-20-29%0-29%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%72%72%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%57%57%
2 – Inter Turku win44%43% · Elo 53%43%· Elo 53%
X – draw29%30% · Elo 25%30%· Elo 25%
1 – VPS win27%28% · Elo 22%28%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
VPS attack vs Inter Turku defenceattack1471defence1673−202 pts to the attack
Inter Turku attack vs VPS defenceattack1536defence1496+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%61%
8.541%48%
9.529%38%
10.520%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
VPSwe expect 3.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 24%
Inter Turkuwe expect 4.3, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 68%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 32%over
We expect 23.5 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.574%52%
20.568%44%
21.561%39%
22.554%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
VPSwe expect 14.0, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 79%
Inter Turkuwe expect 9.9, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.573%59%
3.553%37%
4.533%23%
5.519%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
VPSwe expect 2.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 63%
Inter Turkuwe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter Turku: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Inter Turku concede only 0.4 goals per game
  • VPS score only 0.7 goals per game
  • VPS: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Inter Turku: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

VPS

Inter Turku

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Inter Turku271410333:1852
5VPS271161031:3139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win VPS vs Inter Turku?

Inter Turku are the favourites. Chances: VPS win 27%, draw 29%, Inter Turku win 44%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in VPS vs Inter Turku?

Expected goals: 2.2 (VPS 0.9, Inter Turku 1.3). Most likely score: 0-1.

When is VPS vs Inter Turku?

The Veikkausliiga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).

See also