Ligue 1Matchday 4
Brest 0-1 Paris SG: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
- Referee:
- Willy Delajod
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won58%
our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9; referee Willy Delajod averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.9
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost75%
our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
- Match Result: Paris SGWon79%
Paris SG: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost37%
referee Willy Delajod averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%59%O2.575%58%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Paris SG1:0BrestL
- Brest0:3Paris SGL
- Paris SG7:0BrestL
- Brest0:3Paris SGL
- Brest2:5Paris SGL
Brest's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.6over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeW. Delajod−0.9 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 3.0total 3.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.8total 3.0
Brest : Paris SGMost likely scores
Market1-1—1-28%0-39%0-29%0-1—1-38%0-47%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-3—0-28%0-18%1-3—0-4—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-1—1-111%1-21-28%1-210%0-30-39%0-3—0-20-29%0-28%0-10-1—0-18%1-31-38%1-3—0-40-47%0-4—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 91%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 87%76% | 76% |
| 2 – Paris SG win | 79%51% · Elo 74% | 51%· Elo 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55%36% | 36% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25%42% | 42% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 20%49% | 49% |
| X – draw | 12%24% · Elo 16% | 24%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%20% | 20% |
| 1 – Brest win | 8%26% · Elo 10% | 26%· Elo 10% |
Attack vs defence
Brest attack vs Paris SG defenceattack1509defence1619−110 pts to the attack
Paris SG attack vs Brest defenceattack1669defence1451+218 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brest concede 2.1 goals per game
- Paris SG matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Paris SG: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Paris SG: only 15 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 23 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Brest: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Paris SG: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris SG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brest vs Paris SG?
Brest 0-1 Paris SG (half time 0-1).
Did the Brest vs Paris SG tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.