Ligue 1Matchday 5
Monaco 2-1 Lens: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stade Louis II, Fontvieille
- Referee:
- Clement Turpin
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost41%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.563%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lens2:3MonacoW
- Monaco1:4LensL
- Lens4:0MonacoL
- Monaco1:1LensD
- Lens2:3MonacoW
Monaco's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.6over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 2
RefereeC. Turpin−0.7 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.3total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 2.9
Monaco : LensMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%1-2—2-07%0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-06%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-2—1-28%2-02-07%2-06%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%66% | 66% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 63%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Monaco win | 52%41% · Elo 41% | 41%· Elo 41% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Lens win | 24%34% · Elo 31% | 34%· Elo 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Monaco attack vs Lens defenceattack1578defence1556+22 pts to the attack
Lens attack vs Monaco defenceattack1597defence1525+72 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lens matches average 12.4 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Monaco: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lens: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Monaco vs Lens?
Monaco 2-1 Lens (half time 1-0).
Did the Monaco vs Lens tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.