Ligue 1Matchday 5
Nice 2-1 Lille: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Allianz Rivera, Nice
- Referee:
- Willy Delajod
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won75%
referee Willy Delajod averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%50%O2.555%44%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lille0:0NiceD
- Nice2:0LilleW
- Lille2:1NiceL
- Nice2:2LilleD
- Lille2:2NiceD
Nice's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 4.5: 75%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 4
RefereeW. Delajod−0.9 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.4
Nice : LilleMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-18%1-0—0-0—1-29%0-27%2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-010%0-09%1-29%0-28%2-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-18%0-111%1-01-0—1-010%0-00-0—0-09%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-27%0-28%2-12-17%2-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%69% | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%77% | 77% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%50% | 50% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Lille win | 45%41% · Elo 53% | 41%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%23% | 23% |
| 1 – Nice win | 29%31% · Elo 22% | 31%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 25% | 28%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Nice attack vs Lille defenceattack1447defence1610−163 pts to the attack
Lille attack vs Nice defenceattack1516defence1474+42 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nice matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Lille: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lille concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Nice: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Nice score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Nice: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Lille: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nice vs Lille?
Nice 2-1 Lille (half time 1-0).
Did the Nice vs Lille tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.