Ligue 1Matchday 9
Nice vs Rennes: prediction, tips and stats
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1.5:1.5Pre-match
- Referee:
- Eric Wattellier
Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS64%61%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nice0:4RennesL
- Rennes1:2NiceW
- Rennes2:0NiceL
- Nice3:2RennesW
- Rennes2:0NiceL
Nice's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.7league 9.5over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
3.3league 3.7under 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.Referee
E. Wattellier−0.8 yellow cards vs average25 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Nice : RennesMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%0-16%1-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-16%0-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%62% | 62% |
| 2 – Rennes win | 40%38% · Elo 49% | 38%· Elo 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%35% | 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Nice win | 35%37% · Elo 25% | 37%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Nice attack vs Rennes defenceattack1453defence1470−17 pts to the attack
Rennes attack vs Nice defenceattack1596defence1485+111 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.565%61%
8.552%50%
9.540%39%
10.529%29%
Each team on its own
Nicewe expect 4.8, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Renneswe expect 4.2, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 81%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 19%
We expect 17.3 in this match, 21.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.525%54%
21.519%48%
22.514%42%
23.511%37%
Each team on its own
Nicewe expect 9.5, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Renneswe expect 9.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Referee: 18.0 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)−3.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.569%63%
3.548%43%
4.529%26%
5.516%14%
Each team on its own
Nicewe expect 2.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 71%
Renneswe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Rennes11 matches in a row over 2.5 goals awayoverall: 4Went on 63%League 61%Model 62%Record 14
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rennes: 9 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Rennes matches average 11.6 corners (league 9.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Nice score a lot late on: 9 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Nice: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Rennes: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Nice win 35%, draw 25%, Rennes win 40%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Rennes?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Nice 1.5, Rennes 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Rennes?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Nice vs Rennes?
The Ligue 1 match kicks off 30 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Nice vs Rennes?
The referee is Eric Wattellier. In 25 matches in our data they showed 2.8 yellow cards a match on average.