Ligue 1Matchday 7
Paris FC vs Rennes: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.558%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Rennes2:1Paris FCL
- Paris FC0:1RennesL
Paris FC's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.8
Paris FC : RennesMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-18%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-07%2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%61% | 61% |
| 1 – Paris FC win | 43%39% · Elo 33% | 39%· Elo 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%32% | 32% |
| 2 – Rennes win | 30%35% · Elo 39% | 35%· Elo 39% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Paris FC attack vs Rennes defenceattack1456defence1475−19 pts to the attack
Rennes attack vs Paris FC defenceattack1582defence1517+65 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%60%
8.551%49%
9.538%38%
10.527%28%
Each team on its own
Paris FCwe expect 5.3, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 60%
Renneswe expect 3.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 19.9 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.543%53%
21.536%47%
22.529%41%
23.524%36%
Each team on its own
Paris FCwe expect 10.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Renneswe expect 9.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%63%
3.551%43%
4.532%26%
5.518%14%
Each team on its own
Paris FCwe expect 2.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
Renneswe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Rennes10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals awayoverall: 2Went on 56%League 61%Model 58%Record 14
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rennes: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Rennes matches average 12.9 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Paris FC: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Rennes: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
Paris FC are the favourites. Chances: Paris FC win 43%, draw 26%, Rennes win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Rennes?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Paris FC 1.7, Rennes 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Rennes?
The chance that both teams score is 61%.
When is Paris FC vs Rennes?
The Ligue 1 match kicks off 18 October 2026, 16:15 (UK time).