Ligue 1Matchday 6

Rennes 4-1 Auxerre: prediction, tips and result

·

Rennes
2-23-22-11-00-4
4-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Auxerre
2-11-01-31-32-5
Stadium:
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Referee:
Willy Delajod

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won58%

12.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.8 in the visitors', league average 9.6; over 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (49% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost59%

    referee Willy Delajod averages 2.9 yellow cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.3 yellow cards against a league average of 3.6

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (54% of league matches); our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

  • Shots on Target – Rennes: Over 4.5Won67%

    our numbers for Rennes: 5.8 shots on target against a league average of 4.7; Rennes: 5.8 shots on target a match, Auxerre's opponents had 6.0 on average, league average 4.7

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Won46%

over 10.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (36% of league matches); 12.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.8 in the visitors', league average 9.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRennes188567%56%Draw18%24%Auxerre174615%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%57%O2.566%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Auxerre0:3RennesW
  2. Rennes2:2AuxerreD
  3. Rennes0:1AuxerreL
  4. Auxerre4:0RennesL
  5. Auxerre0:0RennesD
Rennes's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.6over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 17
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.6under 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 4
RefereeW. Delajod−0.8 yellow cards vs average23 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 62% · H2H 1/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Rennes : Auxerre
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%2-010%1-0—3-18%3-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-16%3-0—1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%1-01-0—1-09%3-13-18%3-16%3-03-08%3-0—1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat85%76%76%
12 – no draw82%76%76%
1 – Rennes win67%53% · Elo 56%53%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals66%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes58%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals56%66%66%
Over 3.5 goals44%34%34%
Both teams to score: no42%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals34%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat33%47%47%
X – draw18%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
2 – Auxerre win15%24% · Elo 20%24%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals14%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Rennes attack vs Auxerre defenceattack1573defence1475+98 pts to the attack
Auxerre attack vs Rennes defenceattack1437defence1473−36 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 9.6 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.573%60%
8.561%49%
9.549%38%
10.537%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Renneswe expect 5.8, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 67%
Auxerrewe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 20.9 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.551%53%
21.543%47%
22.536%42%
23.530%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Renneswe expect 10.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Auxerrewe expect 10.8, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Referee: 20.9 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)−0.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%63%
3.546%43%
4.527%26%
5.514%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Renneswe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Auxerrewe expect 1.9, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 54%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rennes: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Auxerre: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rennes matches average 12.3 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Auxerre: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Rennes: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Auxerre: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Rennes

Auxerre

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Rennes641112:1013
16Auxerre62048:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rennes vs Auxerre?

Rennes 4-1 Auxerre (half time 1-1).

Did the Rennes vs Auxerre tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.

See also