Ligue 1Matchday 5
Auxerre 2-1 Brest: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, Auxerre
- Referee:
- Guillaume Paradis
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%56%O2.558%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Auxerre3:0BrestW
- Brest2:0AuxerreL
- Brest2:2AuxerreD
- Auxerre3:0BrestW
- Brest1:0AuxerreL
Auxerre's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9under 4.5: 68%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 2
RefereeG. Paradis−0.1 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.7
Auxerre : BrestMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%1-0—2-18%0-17%0-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-17%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Brest win | 41%33% · Elo 33% | 33%· Elo 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%29% | 29% |
| 1 – Auxerre win | 33%41% · Elo 40% | 41%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Auxerre attack vs Brest defenceattack1437defence1458−21 pts to the attack
Brest attack vs Auxerre defenceattack1502defence1470+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Auxerre vs Brest?
Auxerre 2-1 Brest (half time 0-1).