Ligue 1Matchday 6

Nice 2-1 Strasbourg: prediction, tips and result

·

Nice
0-00-31-10-12-1
2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Strasbourg
1-21-16-22-10-4
Stadium:
Allianz Rivera, Nice
Referee:
Jeremie Pignard

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Strasbourg (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won68%

Strasbourg: under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Nice's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 5 of 5 (62% of league matches); 2.0 card points a match, Nice's opponents collected 0.8 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon63%

    goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Fouls: Under 19.5Won63%

    our numbers: 18.2 fouls against a league average of 21.5; 17.6 fouls a match in the hosts' matches, 19.6 in the visitors', league average 21.5

  • Offsides – Strasbourg: Under 1.5Lost64%

    Strasbourg: under 1.5 offsides in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Nice's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 4 of 5 (54% of league matches); 0.8 offsides a match, Nice's opponents were caught offside 1.0 times on average, league average 1.6

For the brave
Cards – Strasbourg (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Won42%

Strasbourg: under 1.5 card points in 2 of their last 5 league matches, Nice's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 4 of 5 (36% of league matches); 2.0 card points a match, Nice's opponents collected 0.8 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNice172142%28%Draw26%27%Strasbourg184132%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%57%O2.562%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Strasbourg3:1NiceL
  2. Nice1:1StrasbourgD
  3. Strasbourg2:2NiceD
  4. Nice2:1StrasbourgW
  5. Strasbourg1:3NiceW
Nice's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Pignard+0.7 yellow cards vs average21 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.51:1coverageleague 64% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Nice : Strasbourg
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-06%1-28%0-1—2-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-18%2-2—0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-06%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%77%77%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes64%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals62%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals60%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%61%61%
1 – Nice win42%39% · Elo 28%39%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals40%31%31%
Under 2.5 goals38%47%47%
Both teams to score: no36%43%43%
2 – Strasbourg win32%35% · Elo 45%35%· Elo 45%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals16%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Nice attack vs Strasbourg defenceattack1449defence1475−26 pts to the attack
Strasbourg attack vs Nice defenceattack1536defence1473+63 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%60%
8.552%49%
9.540%38%
10.529%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Nicewe expect 5.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Strasbourgwe expect 4.0, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 76%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 24%
We expect 18.2 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.531%53%
21.524%47%
22.519%42%
23.514%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Nicewe expect 9.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 33%
Strasbourgwe expect 9.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Referee: 20.2 fouls per match on average (21 matches in our data)−1.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%63%
3.543%43%
4.525%26%
5.513%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Nicewe expect 2.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Strasbourgwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 36%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Strasbourg concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Nice matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Strasbourg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Strasbourg: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Nice score a lot late on: 7 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Nice: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Strasbourg: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Nice

Strasbourg

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Nice62225:78
11Strasbourg621311:127
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nice vs Strasbourg?

Nice 2-1 Strasbourg (half time 1-1).

Did the Nice vs Strasbourg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Strasbourg (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also