Ligue 1Matchday 8
Rennes vs Strasbourg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.567%62%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Strasbourg0:3RennesW
- Rennes4:1StrasbourgW
- Rennes1:0StrasbourgW
- Strasbourg3:1RennesL
- Strasbourg2:0RennesL
Rennes's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.4total 3.2
Rennes : StrasbourgMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%2-08%1-06%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%2-07%1-07%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-07%1-01-06%1-07%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%83% | 83% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%63% | 63% |
| 1 – Rennes win | 58%49% · Elo 47% | 49%· Elo 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%40% | 40% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 21%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Strasbourg win | 21%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Rennes attack vs Strasbourg defenceattack1582defence1473+109 pts to the attack
Strasbourg attack vs Rennes defenceattack1531defence1475+56 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 10.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.577%60%
8.566%49%
9.554%38%
10.542%28%
Each team on its own
Renneswe expect 6.2, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 72%
Strasbourgwe expect 4.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 68%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 19.7 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.542%53%
21.535%47%
22.528%41%
23.523%36%
Each team on its own
Renneswe expect 10.1, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Strasbourgwe expect 9.4, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.569%63%
3.548%43%
4.529%26%
5.516%14%
Each team on its own
Renneswe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Strasbourgwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Strasbourg concede 2.0 goals per game
- Rennes: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Strasbourg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Rennes matches average 12.9 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Rennes: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Strasbourg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes are the favourites. Chances: Rennes win 58%, draw 21%, Strasbourg win 21%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Rennes 2.2, Strasbourg 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Rennes vs Strasbourg?
The Ligue 1 match kicks off 25 October 2026, 16:15 (UK time).