Ligue 1Matchday 5

Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre: prediction, tips and result

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3-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Referee:
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

The match in numbers

1X2EloToulouse179657%52%Draw23%26%Le Havre169320%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%49%O2.559%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Le Havre2:1ToulouseL
  2. Toulouse0:0Le HavreD
  3. Le Havre1:4ToulouseW
  4. Toulouse2:0Le HavreW
  5. Le Havre1:0ToulouseL
Toulouse's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 4
RefereeH. Ben el Salem Hadj+0.1 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Toulouse : Le Havre
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-0—0-1—3-17%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-19%2-010%0-09%0-18%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-09%1-012%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-18%3-13-17%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%76%76%
12 – no draw77%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals64%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals59%45%45%
Both teams to score: yes58%49%49%
1 – Toulouse win57%50% · Elo 52%50%· Elo 52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%50%50%
Both teams to score: no42%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals41%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals36%24%24%
X – draw23%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
2 – Le Havre win20%24% · Elo 23%24%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals18%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Toulouse attack vs Le Havre defenceattack1483defence1472+11 pts to the attack
Le Havre attack vs Toulouse defenceattack1400defence1522−122 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Le Havre: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Toulouse: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Le Havre: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Toulouse61329:116
18Le Havre60244:82
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre (half time 0-0).