Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.

Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Model2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence2.0 : 1.3total 3.3

Magdeburg : Karlsruhe

Most likely scores

Model1-19%2-19%2-06%1-0—2-27%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-07%1-07%2-26%3-1—1-26%

ModelAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-06%2-07%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-26%

Outcome	Model	Attack/defence
12 – no draw	79%78%	78%
1X – home team avoid defeat	74%75%	75%
1 – Magdeburg win	53%52% · Elo 49%	52%· Elo 49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	47%48%	48%
2 – Karlsruhe win	26%25% · Elo 25%	25%· Elo 25%
X – draw	21%22% · Elo 26%	22%· Elo 26%

Attack vs defence

Magdeburg attack vs Karlsruhe defenceattack1541defence1439+102 pts to the attack

Karlsruhe attack vs Magdeburg defenceattack1494defence1498−4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 10.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over

We expect 11.1 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

9.566%56%

10.555%52%

11.544%41%

12.533%35%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Magdeburgwe expect 6.2, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 57%

Karlsruhewe expect 5.2, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 41%

Foulsleague average

Over 21.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over

We expect 23.6 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

20.569%57%

21.562%54%

22.556%44%

23.549%40%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Magdeburgwe expect 10.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 46%

Karlsruhewe expect 13.6, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 67%

Offsidesleague average

Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%

We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.567%65%

3.546%37%

4.528%30%

5.515%16%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Magdeburgwe expect 2.4, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 68%

Karlsruhewe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Magdeburg

Karlsruhe

League position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	13
17	Karlsruhe	7	1	2	4	6:14	5

Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe?

Magdeburg are the favourites. Chances: Magdeburg win 53%, draw 21%, Karlsruhe win 26%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe?

Expected goals: 3.6 (Magdeburg 2.1, Karlsruhe 1.5). Most likely score: 2-1.

When is Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe?

The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).

Our tips

The match in numbers

Prediction: result and goals

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

League form

Magdeburg

Karlsruhe

League position

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe?

How many goals will there be in Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe?

When is Magdeburg vs Karlsruhe?

See also