2. BundesligaMatchday 8
Dresden vs Magdeburg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%62%O2.563%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Magdeburg1:2DresdenW
- Dresden1:2MagdeburgL
- Dresden1:1MagdeburgD
- Magdeburg2:2DresdenD
Dresden's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Dresden : MagdeburgMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-06%1-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Dresden win | 38%39% · Elo 35% | 39%· Elo 35% |
| 2 – Magdeburg win | 37%37% · Elo 38% | 37%· Elo 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Dresden attack vs Magdeburg defenceattack1473defence1498−25 pts to the attack
Magdeburg attack vs Dresden defenceattack1541defence1470+71 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.563%56%
10.551%52%
11.540%41%
12.530%35%
Each team on its own
Dresdenwe expect 4.7, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 33%
Magdeburgwe expect 6.1, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.549%57%
21.541%54%
22.534%44%
23.528%40%
Each team on its own
Dresdenwe expect 10.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Magdeburgwe expect 9.8, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 29%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.558%65%
3.536%37%
4.519%30%
5.59%16%
Each team on its own
Dresdenwe expect 1.5, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Magdeburgwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Dresden concede a lot late on: 12 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Dresden: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Magdeburg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 16 | Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dresden vs Magdeburg?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Dresden win 38%, draw 25%, Magdeburg win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Dresden vs Magdeburg?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Dresden 1.6, Magdeburg 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Dresden vs Magdeburg?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Dresden vs Magdeburg?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).