2. BundesligaMatchday 9
Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%O2.556%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nurnberg3:0KaiserslauternW
- Kaiserslautern1:1NurnbergD
- Kaiserslautern1:2NurnbergW
- Nurnberg0:0KaiserslauternD
- Nurnberg1:1KaiserslauternD
Nurnberg's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 2.9
Nurnberg : KaiserslauternMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-27%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-07%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Nurnberg win | 47%46% · Elo 45% | 46%· Elo 45% |
| 2 – Kaiserslautern win | 29%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
Nurnberg attack vs Kaiserslautern defenceattack1537defence1529+8 pts to the attack
Kaiserslautern attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1466defence1499−33 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.563%56%
10.551%52%
11.540%41%
12.530%35%
Each team on its own
Nurnbergwe expect 6.2, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 56%
Kaiserslauternwe expect 4.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 22.1 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.559%57%
21.552%54%
22.545%44%
23.538%40%
Each team on its own
Nurnbergwe expect 9.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Kaiserslauternwe expect 12.2, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%65%
3.542%37%
4.524%30%
5.512%16%
Each team on its own
Nurnbergwe expect 1.7, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Kaiserslauternwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nurnberg score 2.7 goals per game
- Nurnberg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Kaiserslautern concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Nurnberg: unbeaten in 12 matches
- Nurnberg: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Kaiserslautern: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Nurnberg: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Kaiserslautern: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?
Nurnberg are the favourites. Chances: Nurnberg win 47%, draw 24%, Kaiserslautern win 29%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Nurnberg 1.7, Kaiserslautern 1.3). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).