2. BundesligaMatchday 8
Cottbus vs Nurnberg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%63%O2.570%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nurnberg2:0CottbusL
- Cottbus0:3NurnbergL
- Nurnberg1:1CottbusD
- Cottbus1:1NurnbergD
- Nurnberg1:0CottbusL
Cottbus's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.3over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 2.0total 3.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Cottbus : NurnbergMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-29%2-17%2-27%1-0—2-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-07%2-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%61% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Nurnberg win | 46%33% · Elo 39% | 33%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Cottbus win | 30%43% · Elo 33% | 43%· Elo 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Cottbus attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1521defence1499+22 pts to the attack
Nurnberg attack vs Cottbus defenceattack1537defence1488+49 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 11.0 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.564%56%
10.553%52%
11.542%41%
12.532%35%
Each team on its own
Cottbuswe expect 5.3, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Nurnbergwe expect 5.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.556%57%
21.549%54%
22.542%44%
23.536%40%
Each team on its own
Cottbuswe expect 11.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Nurnbergwe expect 10.2, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%65%
3.550%37%
4.531%30%
5.517%16%
Each team on its own
Cottbuswe expect 2.3, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Nurnbergwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Nurnberg12 matches unbeatenaway: 8Went on 78%League 59%Model 70%Record 25
Players
- Mohamed Ali ZomaNurnberg3 matches with a goal3 goalsWent on 27%Season 71%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nurnberg score 2.7 goals per game
- Nurnberg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Nurnberg: unbeaten in 12 matches
- Nurnberg: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Cottbus: newly promoted
- Cottbus: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Nurnberg: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cottbus vs Nurnberg?
Nurnberg are the favourites. Chances: Cottbus win 30%, draw 24%, Nurnberg win 46%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Cottbus vs Nurnberg?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Cottbus 1.6, Nurnberg 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Cottbus vs Nurnberg?
The chance that both teams score is 70%.
When is Cottbus vs Nurnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).