BundesligaMatchday 6
Elversberg vs Augsburg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%60%O2.566%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.7total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Elversberg : AugsburgMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-05%2-27%0-1—2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—0-17%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-05%1-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%34% | 34% |
| 1 – Elversberg win | 39%41% · Elo 22% | 41%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Augsburg win | 36%34% · Elo 52% | 34%· Elo 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Elversberg attack vs Augsburg defenceattack1400defence1470−70 pts to the attack
Augsburg attack vs Elversberg defenceattack1460defence14600 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 9.9 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.565%61%
9.553%48%
10.541%36%
11.530%28%
Each team on its own
Elversbergwe expect 5.4, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
Augsburgwe expect 4.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 18.9 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.551%59%
19.543%53%
20.536%46%
21.529%39%
Each team on its own
Elversbergwe expect 9.3, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 45%
Augsburgwe expect 9.5, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 4.1 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.577%66%
3.558%46%
4.539%30%
5.524%16%
Each team on its own
Elversbergwe expect 2.5, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
Augsburgwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Augsburg8 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsaway: 5Went on 58%League 78%Model 66%Record 26
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Augsburg: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Augsburg matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Augsburg: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Elversberg: newly promoted
- Elversberg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Augsburg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Elversberg vs Augsburg?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Elversberg win 39%, draw 25%, Augsburg win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Elversberg vs Augsburg?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Elversberg 1.7, Augsburg 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Elversberg vs Augsburg?
The chance that both teams score is 68%.
When is Elversberg vs Augsburg?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).