BundesligaMatchday 4

M'gladbach 3-4 Mainz: prediction, tips and result

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3-4Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach
Referee:
Robert Hartmann

The match in numbers

1X2EloM'gladbach174429%34%Draw25%29%Mainz183045%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.562%56%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. M'gladbach1:1MainzD
  2. Mainz0:1M'gladbachW
  3. M'gladbach1:3MainzL
  4. Mainz1:1M'gladbachD
  5. Mainz1:1M'gladbachD
M'gladbach's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 11
RefereeR. Hartmann−0.5 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 2.9
M'gladbach : Mainz
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%1-0—0-17%0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes63%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals62%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals61%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat54%64%64%
2 – Mainz win45%37% · Elo 37%37%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals39%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals38%44%44%
Both teams to score: no37%40%40%
1 – M'gladbach win29%38% · Elo 34%38%· Elo 34%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
M'gladbach attack vs Mainz defenceattack1445defence1536−91 pts to the attack
Mainz attack vs M'gladbach defenceattack1481defence1460+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Mainz521213:107
18M'gladbach50057:180
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of M'gladbach vs Mainz?

M'gladbach 3-4 Mainz (half time 1-2).