BundesligaMatchday 4
Paderborn 3-1 Hoffenheim: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
- Referee:
- Daniel Schlager
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%62%O2.570%60%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Paderborn1:1HoffenheimD
- Hoffenheim3:0PaderbornL
- Paderborn0:0HoffenheimD
- Hoffenheim1:0PaderbornL
- Hoffenheim1:0PaderbornL
Paderborn's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.8over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.8under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 66% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 1
RefereeD. Schlager−0.1 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.2total 3.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Paderborn : HoffenheimMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-29%2-1—0-1—1-37%2-27%1-0—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%0-17%1-3—2-26%1-06%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-1—2-18%0-10-1—0-17%1-31-37%1-3—2-22-27%2-26%1-01-0—1-06%0-20-26%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 76%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%62% | 62% |
| 2 – Hoffenheim win | 54%41% · Elo 58% | 41%· Elo 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%37% | 37% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 46%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Paderborn win | 24%34% · Elo 18% | 34%· Elo 18% |
| X – draw | 22%25% · Elo 24% | 25%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Paderborn attack vs Hoffenheim defenceattack1382defence1480−98 pts to the attack
Hoffenheim attack vs Paderborn defenceattack1540defence1456+84 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hoffenheim concede 2.0 goals per game
- Hoffenheim matches average 5.2 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Hoffenheim: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Paderborn: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Hoffenheim: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Paderborn vs Hoffenheim?
Paderborn 3-1 Hoffenheim (half time 2-0).