BundesligaMatchday 5
Paderborn 0-2 Stuttgart: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
- Referee:
- Felix Zwayer
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 3.5Lost59%
referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.6 card points a match, league average 4.0; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost73%
our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3
- Shots on Target – Paderborn: Under 4.5Won60%
our numbers for Paderborn: 4.2 shots on target against a league average of 5.3
- Fouls – Stuttgart: Under 10.5Won68%
our numbers for Stuttgart: 9.2 fouls against a league average of 10.0
For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 4.5Lost41%
referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.6 card points a match, league average 4.0; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%63%O2.574%61%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Paderborn1:2StuttgartL
- Stuttgart0:0PaderbornD
Paderborn's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.5league 9.9over 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 1
RefereeF. Zwayer+0.5 yellow cards vs average28 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%21:1coverageleague 43% · H2H 1/2covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.5total 3.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.8total 3.2
Paderborn : StuttgartMost likely scores
Market1-18%1-29%2-1—0-1—1-37%0-26%2-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-17%0-17%1-3—0-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-1—2-17%0-10-1—0-17%1-31-37%1-3—0-20-26%0-27%2-22-26%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%82% | 82% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 81%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70%63% | 63% |
| 2 – Stuttgart win | 61%46% · Elo 66% | 46%· Elo 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54%39% | 39% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 40%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Paderborn win | 20%31% · Elo 14% | 31%· Elo 14% |
| X – draw | 20%24% · Elo 20% | 24%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Paderborn attack vs Stuttgart defenceattack1386defence1511−125 pts to the attack
Stuttgart attack vs Paderborn defenceattack1585defence1458+127 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%60%
9.546%48%
10.535%36%
11.525%27%
Each team on its own
Paderbornwe expect 4.2, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 25%
Stuttgartwe expect 5.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 18.5 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.548%59%
19.540%53%
20.533%46%
21.527%39%
Each team on its own
Paderbornwe expect 9.3, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 45%
Stuttgartwe expect 9.2, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Referee: 20.4 fouls per match on average (21 matches in our data)−0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%66%
3.544%46%
4.526%30%
5.513%16%
Each team on its own
Paderbornwe expect 1.6, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Stuttgartwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stuttgart concede 2.0 goals per game
- Stuttgart: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Stuttgart matches average 12.4 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Paderborn: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Stuttgart: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Paderborn vs Stuttgart?
Paderborn 0-2 Stuttgart (half time 0-1).
Did the Paderborn vs Stuttgart tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 3.5. The tip lost.