BundesligaMatchday 4
Stuttgart 0-1 Dortmund: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- MHP Arena, Stuttgart
- Referee:
- Tobias Stieler
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost55%
referee Tobias Stieler averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost34%
referee Tobias Stieler averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%67%O2.571%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Stuttgart0:2DortmundL
- Dortmund3:3StuttgartD
- Dortmund1:2StuttgartW
- Stuttgart5:1DortmundW
- Dortmund0:1StuttgartW
Stuttgart's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 7
RefereeT. Stieler−0.6 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.8total 3.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.7total 3.4
Stuttgart : DortmundMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-1—3-15%Attack/defence1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-06%0-15%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-15%3-13-15%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Stuttgart win | 40%40% · Elo 30% | 40%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Dortmund win | 36%37% · Elo 41% | 37%· Elo 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 28%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Stuttgart attack vs Dortmund defenceattack1594defence1612−18 pts to the attack
Dortmund attack vs Stuttgart defenceattack1598defence1510+88 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stuttgart concede 2.1 goals per game
- Stuttgart: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Stuttgart matches average 12.3 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Dortmund matches average only 7.5 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Dortmund: 5 wins in a row
- Stuttgart: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Dortmund: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Stuttgart vs Dortmund?
Stuttgart 0-1 Dortmund (half time 0-0).
Did the Stuttgart vs Dortmund tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.