BundesligaMatchday 3
RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
- Referee:
- Florian Badstubner
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won63%
referee Florian Badstubner averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.1 cards against a league average of 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost42%
referee Florian Badstubner averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.1 cards against a league average of 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.572%64%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hamburg1:2RB LeipzigW
- RB Leipzig2:1HamburgW
- RB Leipzig1:1HamburgD
- Hamburg0:2RB LeipzigW
- RB Leipzig0:3HamburgL
RB Leipzig's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.8over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.8under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeF. Badstubner−1.6 cards vs average20 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.1total 3.7Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.3
RB Leipzig : HamburgMost likely scores
Market2-19%2-08%1-17%3-18%1-0—3-07%Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-19%3-17%1-08%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%1-11-17%1-19%3-13-18%3-17%1-01-0—1-08%3-03-07%3-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%84% | 84% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 86%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%64% | 64% |
| 1 – RB Leipzig win | 70%64% · Elo 65% | 64%· Elo 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%42% | 42% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%41% | 41% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 29%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 16%20% · Elo 21% | 20%· Elo 21% |
| 2 – Hamburg win | 13%17% · Elo 14% | 17%· Elo 14% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
RB Leipzig attack vs Hamburg defenceattack1566defence1429+137 pts to the attack
Hamburg attack vs RB Leipzig defenceattack1402defence1548−146 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hamburg concede 2.4 goals per game
- RB Leipzig matches average only 2.2 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Hamburg matches average 5.0 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- RB Leipzig: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- RB Leipzig: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Hamburg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 12 | Hamburg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Hamburg?
RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg (half time 2-0).
Did the RB Leipzig vs Hamburg tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.