Premier DivisionMatchday 35
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 9d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.552%55%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sligo Rovers1:2Shamrock RoversW
- Shamrock Rovers1:2Sligo RoversL
- Sligo Rovers0:2Shamrock RoversW
- Shamrock Rovers1:2Sligo RoversL
- Sligo Rovers2:2Shamrock RoversD
Shamrock Rovers's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.1 : 0.7total 2.7Attack/defence2.1 : 0.8total 2.9
Shamrock Rovers : Sligo RoversMost likely scores
Model2-014%1-012%1-110%2-19%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-013%1-012%1-19%2-110%3-09%3-17%
ModelAttack/defence2-02-014%2-013%1-01-012%1-012%1-11-110%1-19%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-09%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 90%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%78% | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%67% | 67% |
| 1 – Shamrock Rovers win | 69%68% · Elo 70% | 68%· Elo 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 31%32% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%33% | 33% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 21%20% · Elo 19% | 20%· Elo 19% |
| 2 – Sligo Rovers win | 10%12% · Elo 11% | 12%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Shamrock Rovers attack vs Sligo Rovers defenceattack1540defence1350+190 pts to the attack
Sligo Rovers attack vs Shamrock Rovers defenceattack1374defence1610−236 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 9.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%60%
8.555%46%
9.542%30%
10.531%22%
Each team on its own
Shamrock Roverswe expect 7.0, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 80%
Sligo Roverswe expect 3.0, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 21.9 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.558%53%
21.551%49%
22.544%44%
23.537%36%
Each team on its own
Shamrock Roverswe expect 10.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Sligo Roverswe expect 11.0, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.580%78%
2.558%49%
3.536%34%
4.519%21%
Each team on its own
Shamrock Roverswe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Sligo Roverswe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sligo Rovers concede 2.2 goals per game
- Sligo Rovers score only 0.7 goals per game
- Sligo Rovers: 5 defeats in a row
- Shamrock Rovers: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sligo Rovers: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54:33 | 65 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25:59 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
Shamrock Rovers are the favourites. Chances: Shamrock Rovers win 69%, draw 21%, Sligo Rovers win 10%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Shamrock Rovers 2.1, Sligo Rovers 0.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 2-0.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
The Premier Division match kicks off 23 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).
See also
- Premier Division: table, fixtures and results
- Premier Division stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- The clubs' other match this season: Sligo Rovers 0-2 Shamrock Rovers ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Sligo Rovers 1-2 Shamrock Rovers ()
- Shamrock Rovers: Elo rating
- Sligo Rovers: Elo rating