Premier DivisionMatchday 33

Waterford vs Galway: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 5d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloWaterford134146%41%Draw24%29%Galway133430%29%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%61%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Galway0:0WaterfordD
  2. Waterford1:1GalwayD
  3. Galway4:3WaterfordL
  4. Waterford1:1GalwayD
  5. Galway2:4WaterfordW
Waterford's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.3under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.1
Waterford : Galway
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-0—1-27%2-06%2-27%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%1-27%2-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-06%2-07%2-22-27%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%81%81%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes64%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals62%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals60%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%53%53%
1 – Waterford win46%47% · Elo 41%47%· Elo 41%
Over 3.5 goals40%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals38%41%41%
Both teams to score: no36%39%39%
2 – Galway win30%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 29%24%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals16%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Waterford attack vs Galway defenceattack1533defence1449+84 pts to the attack
Galway attack vs Waterford defenceattack1456defence1396+60 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.555%60%
8.542%46%
9.530%30%
10.520%22%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Waterfordwe expect 5.0, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Galwaywe expect 3.1, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 22.4 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.561%53%
21.554%49%
22.547%44%
23.540%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Waterfordwe expect 12.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Galwaywe expect 10.5, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.573%78%
2.548%49%
3.526%34%
4.512%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Waterfordwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Galwaywe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 30%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waterford matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Waterford: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Waterford played 3 days ago
  • Galway played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Galway329111242:4838
8Waterford327131244:5434
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Waterford vs Galway?

Waterford are the favourites. Chances: Waterford win 46%, draw 24%, Galway win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Galway?

Expected goals: 3.2 (Waterford 1.8, Galway 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Waterford vs Galway?

The chance that both teams score is 64%.

When is Waterford vs Galway?

The Premier Division match kicks off 19 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).