Serie AMatchday 6

Cagliari 1-1 Juventus: prediction, tips and result

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Cagliari
1-00-11-02-11-0
1-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Juventus
2-02-31-12-01-0
Stadium:
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Referee:
Matteo Marcenaro

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 8.5Won59%

10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 8.8

Other tips

  • Cards – Juventus (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won71%

    Juventus: under 2.5 card points in 5 of their last 5 league matches, Cagliari's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 4 of 5 (63% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Fouls – Cagliari: Under 11.5Won65%

    our numbers for Cagliari: 10.3 fouls against a league average of 11.5; Cagliari: under 11.5 fouls in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Juventus's opponents committed under 11.5 in 4 of 5 (52% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Juventus: Over 3.5Won61%

    Juventus: over 3.5 shots on target in 5 of their last 5 league matches, Cagliari's opponents had over 3.5 in 3 of 5 (51% of league matches); 5.8 shots on target a match, Cagliari's opponents had 3.8 on average, league average 3.6

  • Offsides – Juventus: Over 1.5Won61%

    our numbers for Juventus: 2.1 offsides against a league average of 1.7

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost35%

over 10.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (29% of league matches); 10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 8.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCagliari176114%20%Draw24%27%Juventus195662%53%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%52%O2.548%48%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cagliari1:0JuventusW
  2. Juventus2:1CagliariL
  3. Cagliari0:1JuventusL
  4. Juventus1:1CagliariD
  5. Cagliari2:2JuventusD
Cagliari's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 8.8over 8.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Marcenaro+0.5 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)75%21:1coverageleague 45% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.1 : 1.5total 2.6
Cagliari : Juventus
Most likely scores
Market0-113%0-213%1-111%1-210%0-08%1-0—Attack/defence0-111%0-29%1-113%1-29%0-08%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-113%0-111%0-20-213%0-29%1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-08%0-08%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat86%74%74%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals74%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals74%73%73%
2 – Juventus win62%47% · Elo 53%47%· Elo 53%
Both teams to score: no55%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals52%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals48%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes45%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat38%53%53%
Under 1.5 goals26%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals26%27%27%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
1 – Cagliari win14%27% · Elo 20%27%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Cagliari attack vs Juventus defenceattack1438defence1609−171 pts to the attack
Juventus attack vs Cagliari defenceattack1597defence1488+109 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.558%57%
8.545%40%
9.533%27%
10.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Cagliariwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Juventuswe expect 4.3, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 21.5 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.541%52%
23.534%46%
24.528%38%
25.523%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Cagliariwe expect 10.3, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Juventuswe expect 10.9, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Referee: 24.4 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)+0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.574%62%
3.554%40%
4.535%28%
5.520%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Cagliariwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Juventuswe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 62%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cagliari matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Juventus: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Cagliari: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Juventus: only 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 21 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Cagliari: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Juventus: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Cagliari

Juventus

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Cagliari64116:313
6Juventus63219:511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cagliari vs Juventus?

Cagliari 1-1 Juventus (half time 1-0).

Did the Cagliari vs Juventus tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 8.5. The tip won.

See also