Serie AMatchday 5
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
- Referee:
- Daniele Doveri
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won57%
our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.8; referee Daniele Doveri averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 3.8
Other tips
- Both Teams To Score: YesWon57%
goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost36%
our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.8; referee Daniele Doveri averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.553%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Napoli2:1FiorentinaL
- Fiorentina1:3NapoliL
- Napoli2:1FiorentinaL
- Fiorentina0:3NapoliL
- Fiorentina2:2NapoliD
Fiorentina's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.9over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.8under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
RefereeD. Doveri−0.6 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Fiorentina : NapoliMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%1-0—2-17%0-27%Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-18%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-17%2-18%0-20-27%0-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%69% | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Napoli win | 43%43% · Elo 46% | 43%· Elo 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%30% | 30% |
| 1 – Fiorentina win | 29%31% · Elo 25% | 31%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Fiorentina attack vs Napoli defenceattack1502defence1593−91 pts to the attack
Napoli attack vs Fiorentina defenceattack1560defence1459+101 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli (half time 0-1).
Did the Fiorentina vs Napoli tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.