Serie AMatchday 4
Napoli 1-0 Bologna: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
- Referee:
- Kevin Bonacina
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won57%
our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8; referee Kevin Bonacina averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won36%
our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8; referee Kevin Bonacina averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.550%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Napoli2:3BolognaL
- Bologna2:0NapoliL
- Bologna1:1NapoliD
- Napoli3:0BolognaW
- Napoli0:2BolognaL
Napoli's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 1
RefereeK. Bonacina−0.9 cards vs average11 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.7
Napoli : BolognaMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-08%2-19%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1 – Napoli win | 53%47% · Elo 49% | 47%· Elo 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 47%53% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Bologna win | 21%27% · Elo 23% | 27%· Elo 23% |
Attack vs defence
Napoli attack vs Bologna defenceattack1562defence1533+29 pts to the attack
Bologna attack vs Napoli defenceattack1520defence1582−62 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Napoli vs Bologna?
Napoli 1-0 Bologna (half time 0-0).
Did the Napoli vs Bologna tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.