Serie AMatchday 7
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%56%O2.566%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sassuolo1:0FrosinoneL
- Frosinone4:2SassuoloW
- Sassuolo2:2FrosinoneD
- Frosinone0:2SassuoloL
- Frosinone0:1SassuoloL
Frosinone's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 8.9over 8.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.6over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.7total 3.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.7
Frosinone : SassuoloMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-05%2-18%0-1—1-28%2-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-18%0-18%1-28%2-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-113%1-01-05%1-09%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%52% | 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%29% | 29% |
| 1 – Frosinone win | 39%38% · Elo 34% | 38%· Elo 34% |
| 2 – Sassuolo win | 36%36% · Elo 35% | 36%· Elo 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 30% | 26%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Frosinone attack vs Sassuolo defenceattack1409defence1444−35 pts to the attack
Sassuolo attack vs Frosinone defenceattack1459defence1415+44 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 9.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.572%57%
8.560%41%
9.547%28%
10.536%19%
Each team on its own
Frosinonewe expect 5.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Sassuolowe expect 5.0, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 71%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.557%51%
23.550%45%
24.544%37%
25.537%33%
Each team on its own
Frosinonewe expect 12.9, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 61%
Sassuolowe expect 11.1, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%62%
3.538%41%
4.521%28%
5.510%15%
Each team on its own
Frosinonewe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Sassuolowe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Frosinone: newly promoted
- Frosinone: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sassuolo: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Frosinone win 39%, draw 25%, Sassuolo win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Frosinone 1.7, Sassuolo 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
The chance that both teams score is 67%.
When is Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
The Serie A match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).