Serie AMatchday 6

Napoli 3-0 Frosinone: prediction, tips and result

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Napoli
2-01-22-31-01-1
3-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Frosinone
2-01-13-23-00-1
Stadium:
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Referee:
Ermanno Feliciani

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 8.5Won62%

10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 13.4 in the visitors', league average 8.9; over 8.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (51% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Won58%

    referee Ermanno Feliciani averages 2.7 card points a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 card points against a league average of 3.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won67%

    our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Fouls – Napoli: Under 11.5Won70%

    our numbers for Napoli: 9.8 fouls against a league average of 11.5

  • Offsides – Napoli: Over 1.5Lost59%

    our numbers for Napoli: 2.0 offsides against a league average of 1.7; Napoli: 3.2 offsides a match, league average 1.7

For the brave
Corners: Over 9.5Won49%

10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 13.4 in the visitors', league average 8.9; over 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (40% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNapoli193662%61%Draw21%24%Frosinone173218%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%51%O2.568%53%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Napoli2:2FrosinoneD
  2. Frosinone1:3NapoliW
  3. Frosinone0:2NapoliW
  4. Napoli4:0FrosinoneW
  5. Napoli4:0FrosinoneW
Napoli's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 8.9over 8.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 2
RefereeE. Feliciani−1.1 yellow cards vs average15 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 56% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.2total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 0.9total 2.8
Napoli : Frosinone
Most likely scores
Market1-06%2-08%1-19%2-110%3-17%3-0—0-0—Attack/defence1-011%2-011%1-111%2-110%3-1—3-07%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-06%1-011%2-02-08%2-011%1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-13-17%3-1—3-03-0—3-07%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%83%83%
12 – no draw80%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals68%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes63%51%51%
1 – Napoli win62%61% · Elo 61%61%· Elo 61%
Under 3.5 goals54%69%69%
Over 3.5 goals46%31%31%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%40%40%
Both teams to score: no37%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals32%47%47%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
2 – Frosinone win18%17% · Elo 16%17%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals13%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Napoli attack vs Frosinone defenceattack1561defence1422+139 pts to the attack
Frosinone attack vs Napoli defenceattack1410defence1591−181 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.562%56%
8.549%40%
9.536%27%
10.526%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Napoliwe expect 5.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Frosinonewe expect 4.0, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 20.7 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.535%53%
23.529%46%
24.523%38%
25.518%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Napoliwe expect 9.9, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 30%
Frosinonewe expect 11.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Referee: 21.7 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)−2.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%62%
3.546%41%
4.527%28%
5.514%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Napoliwe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Frosinonewe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Napoli matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Frosinone: newly promoted
  • Napoli: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Frosinone: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Napoli

Frosinone

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Napoli631210:610
9Frosinone63129:710
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Napoli vs Frosinone?

Napoli 3-0 Frosinone (half time 2-0).

Did the Napoli vs Frosinone tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 8.5. The tip won.

See also