Serie AMatchday 4
Lazio 2-2 Milan: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Referee:
- Matteo Marcenaro
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%53%O2.543%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lazio1:0MilanW
- Milan1:0LazioL
- Milan1:2LazioW
- Lazio2:2MilanD
- Lazio0:1MilanL
Lazio's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.4league 8.8under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.4 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.8over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 5
RefereeM. Marcenaro+0.4 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.4total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Lazio : MilanMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-112%0-010%1-0—0-29%1-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%0-08%1-010%0-2—1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-19%0-00-010%0-08%1-01-0—1-010%0-20-29%0-2—1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%63% | 63% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%52% | 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%53% | 53% |
| 2 – Milan win | 45%35% · Elo 36% | 35%· Elo 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%48% | 48% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%27% | 27% |
| 1 – Lazio win | 25%38% · Elo 34% | 38%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Lazio attack vs Milan defenceattack1496defence1546−50 pts to the attack
Milan attack vs Lazio defenceattack1558defence1539+19 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Milan matches average only 6.4 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Lazio: 4 wins in a row
- Lazio: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lazio: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Milan: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 5 | Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lazio vs Milan?
Lazio 2-2 Milan (half time 2-0).