Serie AMatchday 5
Parma 2-1 Genoa: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Ennio Tardini, Parma
- Referee:
- Maurizio Mariani
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost64%
under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost36%
under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%52%O2.536%46%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Parma0:0GenoaD
- Genoa0:0ParmaD
- Genoa1:0ParmaL
- Parma0:1GenoaL
- Parma1:2GenoaL
Parma's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.9under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 67% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM. Mariani−0.1 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.1total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Parma : GenoaMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%0-112%1-011%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-09%0-110%1-010%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-013%0-09%0-10-112%0-110%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%63% | 63% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%71% | 71% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 64%54% | 54% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%52% | 52% |
| 2 – Genoa win | 37%35% · Elo 33% | 35%· Elo 33% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%46% | 46% |
| X – draw | 32%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| 1 – Parma win | 31%37% · Elo 37% | 37%· Elo 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Parma attack vs Genoa defenceattack1389defence1468−79 pts to the attack
Genoa attack vs Parma defenceattack1440defence1451−11 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Parma: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Genoa score only 0.5 goals per game
- Parma score only 0.7 goals per game
- Genoa: no win in 9 matches
- Parma score a lot late on: 8 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Parma: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Genoa: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Parma vs Genoa?
Parma 2-1 Genoa (half time 1-0).
Did the Parma vs Genoa tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.