Serie AMatchday 4

Torino 0-2 Roma: prediction, tips and result

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0-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Referee:
Fabio Maresca

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: RomaWon64%

Roma: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; 3 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Cards: Over 3.5Lost56%

    referee Fabio Maresca averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:2Won11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTorino176016%18%Draw21%26%Roma199064%56%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%56%O2.556%55%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Torino0:2RomaL
  2. Roma0:1TorinoW
  3. Torino0:2RomaL
  4. Roma1:0TorinoL
  5. Roma3:2TorinoL
Torino's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 2
RefereeF. Maresca+1.1 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 2.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.7total 2.9
Torino : Roma
Most likely scores
Market1-110%0-211%0-110%1-210%0-38%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-29%0-110%1-210%0-3—2-16%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%0-20-211%0-29%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-210%1-210%0-30-38%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat85%75%75%
12 – no draw80%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals66%68%68%
Our tip: 2 – Roma win64%51% · Elo 56%51%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals56%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes52%56%56%
Both teams to score: no48%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals44%45%45%
1X – home team avoid defeat37%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals34%32%32%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
1 – Torino win16%25% · Elo 18%25%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Torino attack vs Roma defenceattack1469defence1605−136 pts to the attack
Roma attack vs Torino defenceattack1634defence1456+178 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Roma score 2.7 goals per game
  • Torino: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Roma concede only 0.4 goals per game
  • Roma: 8 wins in a row
  • Roma: 28 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Torino: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Roma: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Roma642014:314
12Torino62137:97
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Torino vs Roma?

Torino 0-2 Roma (half time 0-1).

Did the Torino vs Roma tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Roma. The tip won.