J1 LeagueMatchday 9

FC Tokyo 3-0 Urawa Reds: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%

over 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (47% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost36%

over 3.5 goals in 2 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (27% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Tokyo170749%45%Draw25%28%Urawa Reds163125%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.557%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Urawa Reds0:0FC TokyoD
  2. FC Tokyo1:1Urawa RedsD
  3. FC Tokyo3:2Urawa RedsW
  4. Urawa Reds3:2FC TokyoL
  5. Urawa Reds0:2FC TokyoW
FC Tokyo's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.5league 2.5under 2.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
FC Tokyo : Urawa Reds
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-07%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-0—0-07%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%71%71%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals66%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%55%55%
1 – FC Tokyo win49%45% · Elo 45%45%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals43%50%50%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals34%28%28%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
2 – Urawa Reds win25%29% · Elo 27%29%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%26%26%
Attack vs defence
FC Tokyo attack vs Urawa Reds defenceattack1539defence1508+31 pts to the attack
Urawa Reds attack vs FC Tokyo defenceattack1519defence1548−29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.559%53%
8.546%39%
9.534%29%
10.524%23%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Tokyowe expect 5.1, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Urawa Redswe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 19.6 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.556%57%
19.549%48%
20.541%41%
21.534%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Tokyowe expect 10.1, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 54%
Urawa Redswe expect 9.5, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.582%75%
2.561%54%
3.540%35%
4.522%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Tokyowe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Urawa Redswe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Urawa Reds concede 2.1 goals per game
  • FC Tokyo: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Urawa Reds: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Tokyo962117:820
11Urawa Reds940516:2112
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds?

FC Tokyo 3-0 Urawa Reds (half time 0-0).

Did the FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.