J1 LeagueMatchday 6

Kashima Antlers 0-1 Urawa Reds: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Referee:
Koichiro Fukushima

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost62%

referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost57%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (53% of league matches)

  • Corners: Under 9.5Lost57%

    8.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.0 in the visitors', league average 9.4

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost36%

referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKashima Antlers178253%57%Draw25%24%Urawa Reds163122%19%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%54%O2.556%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kashima Antlers1:0Urawa RedsW
  2. Urawa Reds2:3Kashima AntlersW
  3. Urawa Reds0:1Kashima AntlersW
  4. Kashima Antlers1:1Urawa RedsD
  5. Kashima Antlers0:0Urawa RedsD
Kashima Antlers's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards2.2league 2.6under 2.5: 62%Expected cards: 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 4
RefereeK. Fukushima−0.9 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.1total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.7
Kashima Antlers : Urawa Reds
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-06%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%76%76%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes57%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals56%51%51%
1 – Kashima Antlers win53%50% · Elo 57%50%· Elo 57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals44%49%49%
Both teams to score: no43%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Urawa Reds win22%25% · Elo 19%25%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Kashima Antlers attack vs Urawa Reds defenceattack1591defence1500+91 pts to the attack
Urawa Reds attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1518defence1583−65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Urawa Reds concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Kashima Antlers: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Kashima Antlers score a lot late on: 14 of 35 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Kashima Antlers: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Urawa Reds: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Kashima Antlers951319:1616
11Urawa Reds940516:2112
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds?

Kashima Antlers 0-1 Urawa Reds (half time 0-1).

Did the Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.