J1 LeagueMatchday 7

Gamba Osaka 0-2 FC Tokyo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Referee:
Yuzo Sutani

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost62%

referee Yuzo Sutani averages 1.9 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost36%

referee Yuzo Sutani averages 1.9 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGamba Osaka164024%35%Draw25%29%FC Tokyo170751%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%57%O2.556%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gamba Osaka2:0FC TokyoW
  2. FC Tokyo3:0Gamba OsakaL
  3. Gamba Osaka0:0FC TokyoD
  4. FC Tokyo0:1Gamba OsakaW
  5. FC Tokyo3:0Gamba OsakaL
Gamba Osaka's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.3under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards2.2league 2.6under 2.5: 62%Expected cards: 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 3
RefereeY. Sutani−0.9 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.8total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Gamba Osaka : FC Tokyo
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%2-16%1-0—0-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%0-18%2-18%1-08%0-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-28%0-10-19%0-18%2-12-16%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%63%63%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals66%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes58%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals56%53%53%
2 – FC Tokyo win51%36% · Elo 37%36%· Elo 37%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%64%64%
Under 2.5 goals44%48%48%
Both teams to score: no42%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals34%30%30%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
1 – Gamba Osaka win24%38% · Elo 35%38%· Elo 35%
Under 1.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Gamba Osaka attack vs FC Tokyo defenceattack1535defence1532+3 pts to the attack
FC Tokyo attack vs Gamba Osaka defenceattack1544defence1474+70 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Tokyo962117:820
18Gamba Osaka91358:166
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Gamba Osaka 0-2 FC Tokyo (half time 0-1).

Did the Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.