J1 LeagueMatchday 6

Chiba 2-0 Gamba Osaka: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Referee:
Futoshi Nakamura

The match in numbers

1X2EloChiba150425%24%Draw26%26%Gamba Osaka164050%50%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%58%O2.554%55%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gamba Osaka2:0ChibaL
  2. Chiba0:3Gamba OsakaL
  3. Chiba0:1Gamba OsakaL
  4. Gamba Osaka0:0ChibaD
  5. Gamba Osaka2:0ChibaL
Chiba's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.8league 2.6over 2.5: 53%Expected cards: 2.8 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 2
RefereeF. Nakamura+0.5 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.7total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.6total 2.9
Chiba : Gamba Osaka
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%2-1—0-07%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-27%2-17%0-0—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-28%0-27%2-12-1—2-17%0-00-07%0-0—1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%78%78%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%71%71%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes57%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals54%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%54%54%
2 – Gamba Osaka win50%46% · Elo 50%46%· Elo 50%
Under 2.5 goals46%45%45%
Both teams to score: no43%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals32%33%33%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
1 – Chiba win25%29% · Elo 24%29%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Chiba attack vs Gamba Osaka defenceattack1426defence1479−53 pts to the attack
Gamba Osaka attack vs Chiba defenceattack1541defence1378+163 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chiba concede 2.7 goals per game
  • Chiba: 6 defeats in a row
  • Chiba: only 1 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chiba: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gamba Osaka: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
18Gamba Osaka91358:166
19Chiba91268:195
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chiba vs Gamba Osaka?

Chiba 2-0 Gamba Osaka (half time 1-0).