J1 LeagueMatchday 5

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 FC Tokyo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Referee:
Hiroki Kasahara

The match in numbers

1X2EloShimizu S-Pulse157118%28%Draw25%28%FC Tokyo170757%45%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.548%45%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shimizu S-Pulse1:1FC TokyoD
  2. FC Tokyo0:2Shimizu S-PulseW
  3. FC Tokyo0:2Shimizu S-PulseW
  4. Shimizu S-Pulse0:3FC TokyoL
  5. FC Tokyo4:0Shimizu S-PulseL
Shimizu S-Pulse's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 0
RefereeH. Kasahara+0.4 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.7total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Shimizu S-Pulse : FC Tokyo
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-112%0-211%1-210%1-0—0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-2—1-28%1-010%0-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-112%0-111%0-20-211%0-2—1-21-210%1-28%1-01-0—1-010%0-00-08%0-09%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat82%67%67%
12 – no draw75%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals74%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals73%76%76%
2 – FC Tokyo win57%40% · Elo 45%40%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals52%55%55%
Both teams to score: no51%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals48%45%45%
1X – home team avoid defeat43%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals27%24%24%
Under 1.5 goals26%29%29%
X – draw25%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
1 – Shimizu S-Pulse win18%33% · Elo 28%33%· Elo 28%
Attack vs defence
Shimizu S-Pulse attack vs FC Tokyo defenceattack1425defence1521−96 pts to the attack
FC Tokyo attack vs Shimizu S-Pulse defenceattack1538defence1494+44 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shimizu S-Pulse: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Shimizu S-Pulse score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Shimizu S-Pulse: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • FC Tokyo: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • FC Tokyo: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Tokyo962117:820
10Shimizu S-Pulse94148:913
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 FC Tokyo (half time 0-0).