J1 LeagueMatchday 6

Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Referee:
Yusuke Ohashi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Won63%

referee Yusuke Ohashi averages 1.8 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost37%

under 1.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 5 (28% of league matches); referee Yusuke Ohashi averages 1.8 cards a match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKashiwa Reysol170056%42%Draw24%28%Yokohama F. Marinos168419%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.555%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Yokohama F. Marinos0:1Kashiwa ReysolW
  2. Kashiwa Reysol3:0Yokohama F. MarinosW
  3. Kashiwa Reysol1:0Yokohama F. MarinosW
  4. Yokohama F. Marinos0:2Kashiwa ReysolW
  5. Kashiwa Reysol1:0Yokohama F. MarinosW
Kashiwa Reysol's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.2league 2.6under 2.5: 63%Expected cards: 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 2
RefereeY. Ohashi−1.1 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Kashiwa Reysol : Yokohama F. Marinos
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-010%1-010%1-2—0-1—0-06%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%2-07%1-09%1-27%0-17%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-010%2-07%1-01-010%1-09%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%0-00-06%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals79%77%77%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals67%69%69%
1 – Kashiwa Reysol win56%45% · Elo 42%45%· Elo 42%
Over 2.5 goals55%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes55%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals45%47%47%
Both teams to score: no45%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals33%31%31%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%23%23%
2 – Yokohama F. Marinos win19%30% · Elo 30%30%· Elo 30%
Attack vs defence
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs Yokohama F. Marinos defenceattack1530defence1471+59 pts to the attack
Yokohama F. Marinos attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1535defence1527+8 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kashiwa Reysol: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Kashiwa Reysol: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kashiwa Reysol970221:1421
7Yokohama F. Marinos943213:915
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos (half time 0-1).

Did the Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip won.