J1 LeagueMatchday 7

Kyoto 2-3 Kashiwa Reysol: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto
Referee:
Atsushi Kamimura

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost57%

referee Atsushi Kamimura averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 2.6

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon56%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost32%

referee Atsushi Kamimura averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKyoto158321%31%Draw24%28%Kashiwa Reysol170055%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.556%50%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kashiwa Reysol0:1KyotoW
  2. Kyoto2:6Kashiwa ReysolL
  3. Kashiwa Reysol3:3KyotoD
  4. Kyoto1:1Kashiwa ReysolD
  5. Kyoto2:2Kashiwa ReysolD
Kyoto's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 57%Expected cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 5
RefereeA. Kamimura−0.6 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.7
Kyoto : Kashiwa Reysol
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-29%0-19%1-0—2-1—0-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%0-2—0-19%1-09%2-18%0-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%0-20-29%0-2—0-10-19%0-19%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-18%0-00-0—0-07%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat79%64%64%
12 – no draw76%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals66%72%72%
Over 2.5 goals56%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes56%55%55%
2 – Kashiwa Reysol win55%37% · Elo 41%37%· Elo 41%
1X – home team avoid defeat45%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals44%50%50%
Both teams to score: no44%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals34%28%28%
X – draw24%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
1 – Kyoto win21%36% · Elo 31%36%· Elo 31%
Under 1.5 goals20%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Kyoto attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1494defence1524−30 pts to the attack
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs Kyoto defenceattack1522defence1469+53 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kyoto concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Kyoto: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kashiwa Reysol: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kashiwa Reysol970221:1421
16Kyoto922511:168
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kyoto 2-3 Kashiwa Reysol (half time 2-0).

Did the Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.