J1 LeagueMatchday 7
Verdy 1-1 Chiba: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
- Referee:
- Koichiro Fukushima
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won58%
Verdy: no goal in their last 4 league matches
Other tips
- Corners: Under 9.5Lost57%
under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (56% of league matches); 9.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.3 in the visitors', league average 9.4
- Cards: Under 2.5Lost58%
referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost31%
Verdy: no goal in their last 4 league matches
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%48%O2.542%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Verdy1:0ChibaW
- Chiba3:2VerdyL
- Chiba2:0VerdyL
- Verdy3:0ChibaW
- Chiba1:0VerdyL
Verdy's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 58%Expected cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 6
RefereeK. Fukushima−0.7 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Verdy : ChibaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-011%0-19%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-011%0-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%69% | 69% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 58%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Verdy win | 43%43% · Elo 44% | 43%· Elo 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Chiba win | 28%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Verdy attack vs Chiba defenceattack1355defence1386−31 pts to the attack
Chiba attack vs Verdy defenceattack1430defence1509−79 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chiba concede 2.5 goals per game
- Verdy score only 0.6 goals per game
- Verdy: no win in 9 matches
- Verdy: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Chiba: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 5 |
| 20 | Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:14 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Verdy vs Chiba?
Verdy 1-1 Chiba (half time 0-0).
Did the Verdy vs Chiba tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.