Eerste DivisieMatchday 11
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%61%O2.562%58%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Vitesse1:1FC EindhovenD
- FC Eindhoven0:4VitesseL
- FC Eindhoven3:3VitesseD
- Vitesse1:1FC EindhovenD
FC Eindhoven's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss3.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.0
FC Eindhoven : VitesseMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-17%0-27%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%0-17%0-2—1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 53%60% | 60% |
| 2 – Vitesse win | 48%40% · Elo 43% | 40%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%39% | 39% |
| 1 – FC Eindhoven win | 28%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
FC Eindhoven attack vs Vitesse defenceattack1451defence1545−94 pts to the attack
Vitesse attack vs FC Eindhoven defenceattack1511defence1439+72 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.557%61%
9.544%51%
10.533%36%
11.523%29%
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 4.7, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 33%
Vitessewe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 23.2 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.553%48%
23.546%45%
24.539%36%
25.533%32%
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 11.8, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Vitessewe expect 11.4, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%59%
3.545%31%
4.527%20%
5.514%11%
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Vitessewe expect 2.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Eindhoven concede 2.2 goals per game
- FC Eindhoven: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Vitesse: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
Vitesse are the favourites. Chances: FC Eindhoven win 28%, draw 25%, Vitesse win 48%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
Expected goals: 3.2 (FC Eindhoven 1.4, Vitesse 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
The chance that both teams score is 63%.
When is FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).