Eerste DivisieMatchday 9

FC Eindhoven 2-2 Graafschap: prediction, tips and result

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FC Eindhoven
1-30-02-13-12-4
2-2Full time(half time 1-0)
Graafschap
1-01-22-10-51-4
Stadium:
Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost55%

under 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 8 (51% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – FC Eindhoven: Under 5.5Lost63%

    FC Eindhoven: under 5.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 8 league matches (56% of league matches); 3.1 shots on target a match, league average 5.4

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost43%

under 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 8 (40% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Eindhoven121835%33%Draw24%26%Graafschap131541%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%66%O2.567%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. FC Eindhoven2:2GraafschapD
  2. Graafschap2:0FC EindhovenL
  3. FC Eindhoven1:0GraafschapW
  4. Graafschap2:0FC EindhovenL
  5. FC Eindhoven0:1GraafschapL
FC Eindhoven's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)66%1X1:2coverageleague 74% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.6total 3.3
FC Eindhoven : Graafschap
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-1—0-25%Attack/defence1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-06%0-16%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-25%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%84%84%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Both teams to score: yes68%66%66%
Over 2.5 goals67%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%63%63%
Under 3.5 goals55%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals45%42%42%
2 – Graafschap win41%37% · Elo 41%37%· Elo 41%
1 – FC Eindhoven win35%40% · Elo 33%40%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals33%36%36%
Both teams to score: no32%34%34%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%16%16%
Attack vs defence
FC Eindhoven attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1451defence1473−22 pts to the attack
Graafschap attack vs FC Eindhoven defenceattack1535defence1452+83 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.560%64%
9.547%57%
10.536%41%
11.526%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 4.9, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Graafschapwe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 23.0 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.551%47%
23.544%45%
24.538%34%
25.532%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 12.1, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 54%
Graafschapwe expect 10.9, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%59%
3.540%29%
4.523%21%
5.511%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Graafschapwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Graafschap concede 2.2 goals per game
  • FC Eindhoven concede 2.0 goals per game
  • FC Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Graafschap: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

FC Eindhoven

Graafschap

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15FC Eindhoven1032515:2211
16Graafschap1032513:2311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of FC Eindhoven vs Graafschap?

FC Eindhoven 2-2 Graafschap (half time 1-0).

Did the FC Eindhoven vs Graafschap tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also