Eerste DivisieMatchday 11
FC Emmen vs Almere City: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%64%O2.564%62%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Almere City4:2FC EmmenL
- FC Emmen1:4Almere CityL
- FC Emmen1:2Almere CityL
- Almere City2:0FC EmmenL
- Almere City0:0FC EmmenD
FC Emmen's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.6total 3.2
FC Emmen : Almere CityMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%0-1—1-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-18%1-29%2-27%0-16%1-06%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-29%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%1-01-0—1-06%2-02-06%2-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%64% | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%60% | 60% |
| 1 – FC Emmen win | 43%36% · Elo 28% | 36%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%36% | 36% |
| 2 – Almere City win | 33%40% · Elo 46% | 40%· Elo 46% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
FC Emmen attack vs Almere City defenceattack1511defence1568−57 pts to the attack
Almere City attack vs FC Emmen defenceattack1600defence1503+97 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.558%61%
9.545%51%
10.534%36%
11.524%29%
Each team on its own
FC Emmenwe expect 4.8, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
Almere Citywe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.537%48%
23.531%45%
24.525%36%
25.520%32%
Each team on its own
FC Emmenwe expect 10.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Almere Citywe expect 9.9, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 71%close to the league averageunderover 29%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.551%59%
3.529%31%
4.514%20%
5.56%11%
Each team on its own
FC Emmenwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Almere Citywe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Almere City: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- FC Emmen: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Almere City: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Emmen vs Almere City?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: FC Emmen win 43%, draw 25%, Almere City win 33%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in FC Emmen vs Almere City?
Expected goals: 3.3 (FC Emmen 1.8, Almere City 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in FC Emmen vs Almere City?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is FC Emmen vs Almere City?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).