Eerste DivisieMatchday 11
Jong Eindhoven vs Dordrecht: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%63%O2.569%62%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Jong Eindhoven1:1DordrechtD
- Dordrecht1:2Jong EindhovenW
- Jong Eindhoven1:2DordrechtL
- Dordrecht2:0Jong EindhovenL
- Jong Eindhoven0:1DordrechtL
Jong Eindhoven's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.6total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Jong Eindhoven : DordrechtMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%1-0—2-27%2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-27%2-07%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-27%2-02-0—2-07%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%54% | 54% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Jong Eindhoven win | 44%46% · Elo 45% | 46%· Elo 45% |
| 2 – Dordrecht win | 32%30% · Elo 29% | 30%· Elo 29% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Jong Eindhoven attack vs Dordrecht defenceattack1498defence1478+20 pts to the attack
Dordrecht attack vs Jong Eindhoven defenceattack1461defence1451+10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 10.1 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.567%61%
9.555%51%
10.543%36%
11.532%29%
Each team on its own
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 6.2, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 57%
Dordrechtwe expect 4.3, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.545%48%
23.538%45%
24.532%36%
25.526%32%
Each team on its own
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 11.6, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Dordrechtwe expect 10.3, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 67%close to the league averageunderover 33%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.555%59%
3.533%31%
4.517%20%
5.58%11%
Each team on its own
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Dordrechtwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Jong Eindhoven7 matches in a row with BTTSat home: 3Went on 56%League 67%Model 70%Record 20
- Dordrecht10 matches without a win awayoverall: 2Went on 76%League 74%Model 68%Record 26
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Dordrecht concede 2.7 goals per game
- Dordrecht matches average 4.7 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Jong Eindhoven matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Dordrecht: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Jong Eindhoven: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Dordrecht: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jong Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Jong Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?
Jong Eindhoven are the favourites. Chances: Jong Eindhoven win 44%, draw 24%, Dordrecht win 32%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Jong Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Jong Eindhoven 1.9, Dordrecht 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Jong Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?
The chance that both teams score is 70%.
When is Jong Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 19 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).