EredivisieMatchday 6

Cambuur 3-0 Nijmegen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Referee:
Ingmar Oostrom

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Lost66%

    referee Ingmar Oostrom averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.2

  • Match Result: NijmegenLost60%

    Cambuur: winless in their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost46%

over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (42% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCambuur141919%16%Draw20%23%Nijmegen164060%60%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%64%O2.568%65%|exp. goals 1.4 : 2.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nijmegen0:0CambuurD
  2. Cambuur0:1NijmegenL
  3. Cambuur1:2NijmegenL
  4. Nijmegen2:3CambuurW
  5. Nijmegen0:0CambuurD
Cambuur's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.9league 3.2under 3.5: 66%Expected cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 6
RefereeI. Oostrom−0.6 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.3total 3.5Attack/defence1.4 : 2.0total 3.3
Cambuur : Nijmegen
Most likely scores
Market1-210%1-19%0-28%1-37%0-16%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-29%1-110%0-27%1-3—0-17%2-17%2-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-21-210%1-29%1-11-19%1-110%0-20-28%0-27%1-31-37%1-3—0-10-16%0-17%2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%84%84%
X2 – away team avoid defeat80%73%73%
12 – no draw79%78%78%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes64%64%64%
2 – Nijmegen win60%51% · Elo 60%51%· Elo 60%
Under 3.5 goals54%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals46%42%42%
1X – home team avoid defeat39%49%49%
Both teams to score: no36%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals32%36%36%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
1 – Cambuur win19%27% · Elo 16%27%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals13%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Cambuur attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1393defence1526−133 pts to the attack
Nijmegen attack vs Cambuur defenceattack1583defence1392+191 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cambuur: newly promoted
  • Cambuur: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Nijmegen: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Nijmegen823313:149
12Cambuur822411:198
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cambuur vs Nijmegen?

Cambuur 3-0 Nijmegen (half time 1-0).

Did the Cambuur vs Nijmegen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.