EredivisieMatchday 3
Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
- Referee:
- Erwin Blank
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost69%
referee Erwin Blank averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.2
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost48%
referee Erwin Blank averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 3.2; our numbers: 2.8 cards against a league average of 3.2
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%61%O2.560%64%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Excelsior0:2NijmegenW
- Nijmegen5:0ExcelsiorW
- Excelsior0:3NijmegenW
- Nijmegen3:4ExcelsiorL
- Excelsior0:3NijmegenW
Nijmegen's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards2.8league 3.2under 3.5: 69%Expected cards: 2.8 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 4
RefereeE. Blank−0.6 cards vs average32 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence2.1 : 1.2total 3.3
Nijmegen : ExcelsiorMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-07%1-07%1-27%3-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%1-08%1-2—3-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-07%2-08%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-27%1-2—3-13-1—3-17%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%79% | 79% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%42% | 42% |
| 1 – Nijmegen win | 49%58% · Elo 58% | 58%· Elo 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%36% | 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%39% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Excelsior win | 26%21% · Elo 18% | 21%· Elo 18% |
| X – draw | 25%21% · Elo 24% | 21%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Nijmegen attack vs Excelsior defenceattack1589defence1491+98 pts to the attack
Excelsior attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1449defence1529−80 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Excelsior score 2.4 goals per game
- Excelsior matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Excelsior: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Excelsior: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Nijmegen played 3 days ago
- Excelsior: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nijmegen vs Excelsior?
Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior (half time 1-1).
Did the Nijmegen vs Excelsior tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.