EredivisieMatchday 9
Telstar vs Feyenoord: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.573%60%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.9
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Feyenoord2:1TelstarL
- Telstar1:2FeyenoordL
Telstar's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.0under 3.5: 67%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.7total 3.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.9total 3.1
Telstar : FeyenoordMost likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%0-29%0-1—1-38%0-38%2-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-28%0-18%1-36%0-3—2-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-111%1-21-29%1-210%0-20-29%0-28%0-10-1—0-18%1-31-38%1-36%0-30-38%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%81% | 81% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 88%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73%60% | 60% |
| 2 – Feyenoord win | 72%55% · Elo 66% | 55%· Elo 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%37% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%41% | 41% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 28%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 16%23% · Elo 21% | 23%· Elo 21% |
| 1 – Telstar win | 12%23% · Elo 13% | 23%· Elo 13% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Telstar attack vs Feyenoord defenceattack1418defence1628−210 pts to the attack
Feyenoord attack vs Telstar defenceattack1653defence1465+188 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.550%51%
10.538%41%
11.528%33%
12.519%21%
Each team on its own
Telstarwe expect 3.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 19%
Feyenoordwe expect 5.6, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 20.5 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.563%59%
19.556%50%
20.548%43%
21.541%37%
Each team on its own
Telstarwe expect 10.3, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 57%
Feyenoordwe expect 10.3, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%71%
2.545%48%
3.524%29%
4.511%14%
Each team on its own
Telstarwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Feyenoordwe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Feyenoord17 matches unbeatenaway: 9Went on 83%League 69%Model 88%Record 52
- Feyenoord6 wins in a row awayoverall: 4Went on 57%League 40%Model 72%Record 19
Players
- Nacho FerriFeyenoord4 matches with a goal or assist4 goals, 1 assistWent on 39%Season 57%
- Nacho FerriFeyenoord3 matches with a goal4 goalsWent on 27%Season 43%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Feyenoord score 3.0 goals per game
- Feyenoord matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Feyenoord: 4 wins in a row
- Telstar: no win in 7 matches
- Telstar: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Feyenoord: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Telstar vs Feyenoord?
Feyenoord are the favourites. Chances: Telstar win 12%, draw 16%, Feyenoord win 72%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Telstar vs Feyenoord?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Telstar 1.0, Feyenoord 2.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 73%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Feyenoord?
The chance that both teams score is 61%.
When is Telstar vs Feyenoord?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 17 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).