EredivisieMatchday 8

Zwolle 0-1 Cambuur: prediction, tips and result

·

Zwolle
2-01-32-20-70-3
0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Cambuur
1-13-02-21-42-5
Stadium:
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle
Referee:
Sander van der Eijk

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost64%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (63% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Fouls – Zwolle: Over 10.5Won57%

    our numbers for Zwolle: 11.4 fouls against a league average of 9.4; Cambuur's opponents committed 13.4 fouls on average, league average 9.4

  • Offsides: Under 2.5Lost60%

    1.0 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 2.6

  • Shots on Target – Zwolle: Under 5.5Won64%

    Zwolle: 3.3 shots on target a match, league average 5.3

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost42%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (41% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloZwolle148646%52%Draw25%27%Cambuur141929%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%62%O2.564%60%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cambuur3:4ZwolleW
  2. Zwolle1:2CambuurL
  3. Cambuur1:0ZwolleL
  4. Zwolle2:2CambuurD
  5. Zwolle6:1CambuurW
Zwolle's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.1under 3.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. van der Eijk+0.3 yellow cards vs average33 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)66%U3.52:2coverageleague 71% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
Zwolle : Cambuur
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%1-0—2-27%2-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-06%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes65%62%62%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals64%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals58%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%56%56%
1 – Zwolle win46%44% · Elo 52%44%· Elo 52%
Over 3.5 goals42%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals36%41%41%
Both teams to score: no35%38%38%
2 – Cambuur win29%32% · Elo 22%32%· Elo 22%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Zwolle attack vs Cambuur defenceattack1399defence1407−8 pts to the attack
Cambuur attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1402defence1386+16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.551%51%
10.539%42%
11.528%34%
12.520%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Zwollewe expect 4.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
Cambuurwe expect 4.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 20.8 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.565%59%
19.557%50%
20.550%43%
21.543%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Zwollewe expect 11.4, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 68%
Cambuurwe expect 10.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Referee: 18.4 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)−1.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.566%71%
2.540%48%
3.520%28%
4.59%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Zwollewe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Cambuurwe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 22%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zwolle concede 2.5 goals per game
  • Cambuur: newly promoted
  • Zwolle: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cambuur: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Zwolle

Cambuur

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Cambuur822411:198
16Zwolle81166:214
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Zwolle vs Cambuur?

Zwolle 0-1 Cambuur (half time 0-0).

Did the Zwolle vs Cambuur tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.

See also